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KS3 Maths · Year 7 · Chapter 3: Probability · Lesson 2

Using a sample space to calculate probabilities

Year 7About 60 minutesNo calculator48 marks
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Date
A

Do Now

Quick questions to start.

  1. A1
    Needed today

    Write in its simplest form.

    [1 mark]
    Answer
  2. A2
    Needed today

    Write out of as a fraction in its simplest form.

    [1 mark]
    Answer
  3. A3
    Last lesson

    P(red) . Find P(not red).

    [1 mark]
    Answer
  4. A4
    From chapter 2

    A quadrilateral has angles , , , . Find .

    [1 mark]
    Answer
B

Example, then your turn

Year 7

Your teacher works through each example with you. Then try the one beside it.

Example 1

A coin is tossed and a spinner numbered to is spun. The sample space shows every outcome. Work out (i) P(tail and ) (ii) P(head and an odd number) (iii) P(tail and less than ).

1234HeadTailH, 1H, 2H, 3H, 4T, 1T, 2T, 3T, 4
Hint Count the outcomes in the table: there are , all equally likely.
  1. B1

    A coin is tossed and a spinner numbered to is spun. Complete the sample space. Then work out (i) P(head and ) (ii) P(tail and an even number) (iii) P(head and a number greater than ).

    [3 marks]
    12345HeadTailH, 1
    Answer(i) (ii) (iii)
Example 2

Two spinners, each numbered to , are spun and the scores are added. (a) Which total is most likely? (b) Work out P(total is or more). (c) Work out P(total is odd).

+123412342345345645675678
Hint The grid has equally likely totals. Count how many times each total appears.
  1. B2

    A fair dice and a spinner numbered to are used. The scores are multiplied. Dice scores are across the top. Complete the grid. Then work out (i) P(product is even) (ii) P(product is greater than ) (iii) the most likely product.

    [3 marks]
    ×1234561231
    Answer(i) (ii) (iii)
Example 3

A club has members. are adults. members swim, and of the swimmers are children. Complete the two-way table. Work out the probability that a member chosen at random is an adult who does not swim.

AdultChildTotalSwimmerNon-swimmerTotal7121840
Hint Fill in the cells you can find straight away, then use the totals to find the rest.
  1. B3

    pupils go on a school trip. are girls. pupils bring a packed lunch, and of these are boys. Complete the two-way table. Then work out (i) P(a girl with a school lunch) (ii) P(a boy with a packed lunch).

    [3 marks]
    GirlBoyTotalPacked lunchSchool lunchTotal
    Answer(i) (ii)
C

Practice

Year 7
  1. C1

    cakes are each chocolate or vanilla. are iced, including chocolate cakes. vanilla cakes are not iced. Use the Venn diagram to find P(a chocolate cake that is not iced).

    [3 marks]
    ChocolateIced
    Answer
  2. C2

    Both spinners are spun and the two scores are multiplied. Work out the probability that the product is greater than .

    [2 marks]
    −2−101Spinner A−112Spinner B
    Answer
  1. C3

    A game uses a grid with some winning squares. Grid A is by with winning squares. Grid B is by with winning squares. Grid C is by with winning squares. A square is picked at random. Which grid gives the best chance of a win? Show how you decide.

    [2 marks]
    Answer
  2. C4

    Three coins are tossed. List all the outcomes. Work out the probability of exactly two heads.

    [2 marks]
    Answer
  3. C5

    Two fair dice are rolled and the scores are added. Work out the probability that the total is a prime number.

    [2 marks]
    Answer
  4. C6

    Drawer 1 has red socks, blue and green. Drawer 2 has red, blue and green. One sock is taken from each drawer. Find P(both socks are the same colour).

    [3 marks]
    Answer
D

Exam-style questions

GCSE Foundation
  1. D1

    Zoe tosses two fair coins. She says, "There are three outcomes: two heads, two tails, or one of each. So the probability of one head and one tail is ."

    Is Zoe correct? Explain your answer and give the correct probability.

    [3 marks]
  1. D2

    people were asked how they travel to work. The two-way table shows some of the results.

    BusCarWalkTotalAdultChildTotal11259141660
    (a)

    Complete the two-way table.

    [3 marks]
    (b)

    One person is chosen at random. Work out the probability that this person is a child who travels by car.

    [1 mark]
    Answer
    (c)

    Work out the probability that the person chosen does not walk.

    [1 mark]
    Answer
    Total for D2: 5 marks
  2. D3

    Spinner A is numbered , , , . Spinner B is numbered , , . Both are spun. The score is the larger number take away the smaller number. The grid shows some of the scores, with spinner A across the top.

    12341350312
    (a)

    Complete the grid.

    [2 marks]
    (b)

    Leo says, "The most likely score is ." Is Leo correct? Give a reason for your answer.

    [2 marks]
    (c)

    Work out the probability that the score is or more.

    [1 mark]
    Answer
    Total for D3: 5 marks
  3. D4

    A café sells a meal deal. You choose a starter (soup or melon), a main (chicken, fish or pie) and a dessert (cake or fruit).

    (a)

    How many different meal deals are there? Show how you work it out.

    [2 marks]
    Answer
    (b)

    A meal deal is chosen at random. Work out the probability that it has melon and does not have fish.

    [2 marks]
    Answer
    Total for D4: 4 marks
E

Extension

Stretch

No route is given. The hints are at the end of the sheet. Use one at a time.

  1. E1

    A fair dice is rolled and a fair spinner numbered to is spun. The probability that the dice and the spinner show the same number is . Work out the value of .

    [4 marks]
    Hint 1 · What to try

    The sample space has equally likely outcomes.

    Hint 2 · The first line

    If is or more, the same number can happen in ways. If is less than , it can happen in ways.

    Hint 3 · The full method

    With less than the probability is , which is not . So and .

    Answer
F

How did it go?

Colour one circle on each line.
Not yetNearlyYes
I can draw a sample space that lists every outcome of two events.
I can complete a two-way table from information given in words.
I can work out a probability from a sample space, a table or a Venn diagram.
I can count equally likely outcomes when items come in different numbers.

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