Using a sample space to calculate probabilities
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Do Now
Quick questions to start.
- A1Needed today[1 mark]
Write in its simplest form.
Answer - A2Needed today[1 mark]
Write out of as a fraction in its simplest form.
Answer - A3Last lesson[1 mark]
P(red) . Find P(not red).
Answer - A4From chapter 2[1 mark]
A quadrilateral has angles , , , . Find .
Answer
Example, then your turn
Year 7Your teacher works through each example with you. Then try the one beside it.
A coin is tossed and a spinner numbered to is spun. The sample space shows every outcome. Work out (i) P(tail and ) (ii) P(head and an odd number) (iii) P(tail and less than ).
- B1[3 marks]
A coin is tossed and a spinner numbered to is spun. Complete the sample space. Then work out (i) P(head and ) (ii) P(tail and an even number) (iii) P(head and a number greater than ).
Answer(i) (ii) (iii)
Two spinners, each numbered to , are spun and the scores are added. (a) Which total is most likely? (b) Work out P(total is or more). (c) Work out P(total is odd).
- B2[3 marks]
A fair dice and a spinner numbered to are used. The scores are multiplied. Dice scores are across the top. Complete the grid. Then work out (i) P(product is even) (ii) P(product is greater than ) (iii) the most likely product.
Answer(i) (ii) (iii)
A club has members. are adults. members swim, and of the swimmers are children. Complete the two-way table. Work out the probability that a member chosen at random is an adult who does not swim.
- B3[3 marks]
pupils go on a school trip. are girls. pupils bring a packed lunch, and of these are boys. Complete the two-way table. Then work out (i) P(a girl with a school lunch) (ii) P(a boy with a packed lunch).
Answer(i) (ii)
Practice
Year 7- C1[3 marks]
cakes are each chocolate or vanilla. are iced, including chocolate cakes. vanilla cakes are not iced. Use the Venn diagram to find P(a chocolate cake that is not iced).
Answer - C2[2 marks]
Both spinners are spun and the two scores are multiplied. Work out the probability that the product is greater than .
Answer
- C3[2 marks]
A game uses a grid with some winning squares. Grid A is by with winning squares. Grid B is by with winning squares. Grid C is by with winning squares. A square is picked at random. Which grid gives the best chance of a win? Show how you decide.
Answer - C4[2 marks]
Three coins are tossed. List all the outcomes. Work out the probability of exactly two heads.
Answer - C5[2 marks]
Two fair dice are rolled and the scores are added. Work out the probability that the total is a prime number.
Answer - C6[3 marks]
Drawer 1 has red socks, blue and green. Drawer 2 has red, blue and green. One sock is taken from each drawer. Find P(both socks are the same colour).
Answer
Exam-style questions
GCSE Foundation- D1[3 marks]
Zoe tosses two fair coins. She says, "There are three outcomes: two heads, two tails, or one of each. So the probability of one head and one tail is ."
Is Zoe correct? Explain your answer and give the correct probability.
- D2
people were asked how they travel to work. The two-way table shows some of the results.
(a)[3 marks]Complete the two-way table.
(b)[1 mark]One person is chosen at random. Work out the probability that this person is a child who travels by car.
Answer(c)[1 mark]Work out the probability that the person chosen does not walk.
AnswerTotal for D2: 5 marks - D3
Spinner A is numbered , , , . Spinner B is numbered , , . Both are spun. The score is the larger number take away the smaller number. The grid shows some of the scores, with spinner A across the top.
(a)[2 marks]Complete the grid.
(b)[2 marks]Leo says, "The most likely score is ." Is Leo correct? Give a reason for your answer.
(c)[1 mark]Work out the probability that the score is or more.
AnswerTotal for D3: 5 marks - D4
A café sells a meal deal. You choose a starter (soup or melon), a main (chicken, fish or pie) and a dessert (cake or fruit).
(a)[2 marks]How many different meal deals are there? Show how you work it out.
Answer(b)[2 marks]A meal deal is chosen at random. Work out the probability that it has melon and does not have fish.
AnswerTotal for D4: 4 marks
Extension
StretchNo route is given. The hints are at the end of the sheet. Use one at a time.
- E1[4 marks]
A fair dice is rolled and a fair spinner numbered to is spun. The probability that the dice and the spinner show the same number is . Work out the value of .
Hint 1 · What to try
The sample space has equally likely outcomes.
Hint 2 · The first line
If is or more, the same number can happen in ways. If is less than , it can happen in ways.
Hint 3 · The full method
With less than the probability is , which is not . So and .
Answer
How did it go?
Colour one circle on each line.| Not yet | Nearly | Yes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| I can draw a sample space that lists every outcome of two events. | |||
| I can complete a two-way table from information given in words. | |||
| I can work out a probability from a sample space, a table or a Venn diagram. | |||
| I can count equally likely outcomes when items come in different numbers. |
Answers and mark scheme
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