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GCSE Statistics · Higher · Chapter 11: Probability · Lesson 2

Venn diagrams and the addition law

About 55 minutesCalculator allowed44 marks
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Date
A

Do Now

The first question is what today's lesson needs. The others bring back earlier topics.

  1. A1
    Needed today

    A biased dice is rolled 100 times and shows a six 25 times. It is rolled 1200 more times. Estimate how many sixes it shows.

    [2 marks]
    Answer
  2. A2
    From chapter 6

    Kemi has the lengths of some phone calls in a grouped table only. Kemi works out an estimate of the mean, , and says it is exactly the mean of these values. Is Kemi right? Give a reason.

    [2 marks]
  3. A3
    From chapter 9

    For a ski shop's sales, the trend line reads at Q4 of year 2 and rises by every quarter. The mean seasonal variation for Q3 is . Predict the sales for Q3 of year 3.

    [2 marks]
    Answer
  4. A4
    From chapter 10

    Two sets of data on temperature and sales have PMCC (set A) and (set B). Jon says set A shows the stronger correlation. Is Jon right? Give a reason.

    [2 marks]
B

Example, then your turn

Your teacher works through each example with you. Then try the one beside it.

Example 1

Spinner is numbered 1 to 4 and spinner is numbered 1 to 3. Both are spun and the scores are added. Work out the probability that the total is 5.

Hint List every pair of scores in a table: 4 rows and 3 columns.
  1. B1

    Two fair dice are rolled. Work out the probability that the difference between the two scores is 3 or more.

    [2 marks]
    Answer
Example 2

In a town, , and for a household. Work out and .

Hint Households with both are counted twice if you just add.
  1. B2

    At a shop, the probability that a customer buys bread is , buys milk is and buys both is . Work out the probability that a customer buys neither bread nor milk.

    [3 marks]
    Answer
Example 3

A gym has 120 members. 58 use the pool (), 47 go to classes () and 34 do neither. (a) Complete the Venn diagram. (b) Work out . (c) Describe in words the members in .

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Hint Start with neither: members are inside the circles.
  1. B3

    A vet sees 90 dogs. 52 are vaccinated (), 31 are microchipped () and 23 are neither.

    ξVM
    (a)

    Complete the Venn diagram.

    [2 marks]
    (b)

    One of the dogs is chosen at random. Work out .

    [1 mark]
    Answer
    Total for B3: 3 marks
Example 4

The Venn diagram shows the probabilities of three events , and . (a) Which two events are mutually exclusive? Give a reason. (b) Are , and exhaustive? Give a reason. (c) Work out .

ξABC0.140.160.210.090.270.13
Hint Mutually exclusive events have no overlap. Exhaustive events cover every outcome.
  1. B4

    The Venn diagram shows the probabilities of three events , and .

    ξXYZ0.230.070.310.120.180.09
    (a)

    Which two events are mutually exclusive? Give a reason.

    [2 marks]
    (b)

    Are , and exhaustive? Give a reason.

    [1 mark]
    (c)

    Work out .

    [2 marks]
    Answer
    Total for B4: 5 marks
C

Practice

  1. C1

    The Venn diagram shows 50 library members and whether they borrowed fiction () or non-fiction (). One is chosen at random. Work out .

    [2 marks]
    ξFN1791410
    Answer
  2. C2

    For two events, , and . Are and mutually exclusive? Are they exhaustive? Give a reason for each answer.

    [2 marks]
  1. C3

    The Venn diagram shows the probabilities of two events and . Work out .

    [3 marks]
    ξAB0.3x2x0.16
    Answer
  2. C4

    Two fair four-sided dice, each numbered 1 to 4, are rolled and the scores are multiplied. Work out the probability that the result is a square number.

    [2 marks]
    Answer
D

Exam-style questions

  1. D1

    In a club, the probability that a member plays football is , plays tennis is and plays both is . Ola says, "The probability that a member plays football or tennis is ."

    Is Ola correct? You must show your working.

    [2 marks]
  1. D2

    Ivan asks 75 people on a train platform whether they listen to music () and whether they read () on the train. 49 listen to music, 31 read, 19 do both and the rest do neither.

    ξMR
    (a)

    Complete the Venn diagram.

    [2 marks]
    (b)

    One of the 75 people is chosen at random. Work out .

    [2 marks]
    Answer
    (c)

    Ivan says, "More than half of all train passengers listen to music." Comment on Ivan's statement.

    [2 marks]
    Total for D2: 6 marks
  2. D3

    The Venn diagram shows the 60 students at a music school who play the piano (), the guitar () or the drums ().

    ξPGD14116534215
    (a)

    Describe in words the students in the region that holds 4.

    [1 mark]
    (b)

    A student is chosen at random. Work out the probability that the student plays at least two of the instruments.

    [2 marks]
    Answer
    Total for D3: 3 marks
E

Extension

No route is given. The hints are at the end of the sheet. Use one at a time.

  1. E1

    For two events, and . The probability that neither nor happens is . Work out the probability that exactly one of and happens.

    [3 marks]
    Hint 1 · What to try

    Write in two ways.

    Hint 2 · The first line

    , and also .

    Hint 3 · The full method

    , so . Exactly one is .

    Answer
F

How did it go?

Colour one circle on each line.
Not yetNearlyYes
I can complete a Venn diagram, including the region outside the circles, and use it.
I can use the addition law and decide whether events are mutually exclusive or exhaustive.
I can read and write set notation and describe a region in words.

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